Why it matters now: Newmont (NEM) posted a clean Q2 beat as record prices flowed through the P&L, with $3.0B adjusted EBITDA and $1.6B adjusted net income. Average realized price hit about $3,320/oz, showcasing the earnings torque even as the company integrates Newcrest assets.

Context: Producers are increasingly focused on balance sheet strength and disciplined capex after the last cycle. Newmont’s scale and portfolio depth help manage jurisdictional and operational risk while maximizing leverage to price.

Investor angle: At sustained $3,000+ gold, free cash flow inflects, supporting dividends and buybacks. Watch for updated guidance on synergy delivery from the Newcrest combination and any asset optimization moves.

What to watch: Subsequent quarters’ realized prices vs. spot, cost control (AISC trajectory), and progress on portfolio rationalization to enhance ROIC.

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Why it matters now: Copper is holding gains as traders digest U.S. and China data this week. With Panama’s Cobre Panamá still shut and permitting timelines stretching globally, the medium‑term deficit narrative persists. Bloomberg.comReuters

LME copper ticked ~0.1% higher in London midday trade, while iron ore eased. Macro remains the swing factor: a softer U.S. dollar on benign CPI helps, but industrial indicators from China are needed for a sustained break higher. Bloomberg.com

Company/asset detail: Development spending continues in tier‑one jurisdictions. Hudbay (NYSE: HBM; TSX: HBM) just announced a $600M strategic investment from Mitsubishi for a 30% JV stake in Copper World (Arizona), funding DFS and moving the project toward financing and construction — a vote of confidence in U.S. copper optionality. hudbayminerals.com

Investor angle: Quality U.S./Canada projects with permitting momentum and strong partners (Mitsubishi, streams) screen well. Producers leveraged to smelter TC/RC cycles and premium cathode markets can add resilience.

What to watch: China industrial prints; the Fed path; clarity/timeline at Cobre Panamá; and final JV close milestones for Copper World (late 2025/early 2026 targeted). Bloomberg.comReutershudbayminerals.com


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